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Key Takeaways

Definition
Recidivism refers to an offender’s relapse into criminal behavior. There is no one definition of recidivism; however, all of the definitions that do exist share three traits (Zgoba and Salerno, 2017).
Firstly, recidivism needs to have a starting event, such as a release from criminal custody or the completion of a rehabilitation program.
Secondly, there needs to be some failure after this event, such as a subsequent arrest or a subsequent arrest for a violent crime.
Thirdly, there needs to be a recidivism window or a follow-up period under which an offender’s further window can be considered to be recidivism.
In every case, recidivism ultimately refers to a person’s relapse into criminal behavior, usually after receiving sanctions or undergoing intervention for a previous crime (Zgoba and Salerno, 2017).
Rates of Recidivism
United States
The Bureau of Justice Statistics conducted recidivism studies examining those released from prisons in 1983 and 1994 (Beck & Shipley, 1989; Langan & Levin, 2002).
According to these studies, nearly 63% of offenders released from prison in 1983 were rearrested within three years, 47% were convicted of a new crime, and 41% returned to prison.
These recidivism rates were highest in the first year, with one in four released prisoners being rearrested in the first six months and two in five within the first year after their release.
26% of these prisons had been charged with at least 20 offensives after their release, and 5% with 45 or more offensives.
By three years after its release, this number rose to 52% (Langan & Levin, 2002).
United KingdomThe reoffending rate (recidivism) of adult offenders within a year of being released from custody from April 2013 to March 2014 was 45.8%.Adults who served sentences of less than 12 months re-offended at a rate of 59.8%, compared to 33.9% for those who served sentences of 12 months or more.For the same period, the reoffending rate for juveniles was 67.1%. Over longer periods, the recidivism rate is around 57%.This is the highest reoffending rate in Europe.
United Kingdom
The reoffending rate (recidivism) of adult offenders within a year of being released from custody from April 2013 to March 2014 was 45.8%.Adults who served sentences of less than 12 months re-offended at a rate of 59.8%, compared to 33.9% for those who served sentences of 12 months or more.For the same period, the reoffending rate for juveniles was 67.1%. Over longer periods, the recidivism rate is around 57%.This is the highest reoffending rate in Europe.
The reoffending rate (recidivism) of adult offenders within a year of being released from custody from April 2013 to March 2014 was 45.8%.
Adults who served sentences of less than 12 months re-offended at a rate of 59.8%, compared to 33.9% for those who served sentences of 12 months or more.
For the same period, the reoffending rate for juveniles was 67.1%. Over longer periods, the recidivism rate is around 57%.
This is the highest reoffending rate in Europe.
Causes
Recidivism has many potential causes (Zgoba and Salerno, 2017):
Why Doesn’t Prison Work?Prison does not address the psychological problems that caused prisoners to commit crimes in the first place, e.g., poor moral development and attribution biases or mental health issues.People are released into the same social environment that they came from with social deprivation and unemployment.The stigma attached to having been imprisoned makes it difficult to reintegrate into society, e.g., finding a job. Furthermore, they associate with the same people (differential association theory).For some people, prison is preferable to the life they left behind; they have companionship, food, and warm shelter.
Why Doesn’t Prison Work?
Other scholars, such as Giddens (2006) and Obioha (1995), have argued that the confining together of prisoners who had committed vastly different crimes, as well as those with different backgrounds, behaviors, and personality traits, leads to the development of criminal subcultures within the prison.
In this view, prisons become a “school” of crime and a breeding ground for criminal socialization.
Tenibiaje (2013), meanwhile, took a broader approach to the causes of recidivism, claiming that factors predicting recidivism fall into situational, personal, interpersonal, familial, structural, cultural, and economic categories.
Gendreau, Little, and Goggin (1996), in their meta-analysis, implicated static risk factors as being responsible for recidivism. These risk factors accounted for gender, age of first conviction, having a parent with a criminal record, present age, and the type of offenses committed.
Further, Gendreau, Little, and Goggin argued that so-called dynamic risk factors are the strongest predictors of recidivism. These dynamic factors account for “criminogenic needs” and include criminal peers, criminal history or history of antisocial behavior, social achievement, and family structure.
Concurring, Brown (2002) concluded that criminal companions, antisocial attitudes, and current employment and educational problems were all strong predictors of recidivism.
Other studies of recidivism’s causes have maintained that poor engagement in non-criminal pursuits — such as employment and education — are risk factors for criminal recidivism (Skeem & Peterson et al., 2010).
A number of researchers have conducted recidivism studies as a means of determining if certain treatment programs are effective in reducing recidivism.
Peer group influence, according to these studies, is one powerful predictor of recidivism, albeit one more prevalent in youth offenders than older adults.
The dispersed responsibility associated with peer groups, as well as peer pressure, may encourage greater experimentation than one would carry out alone.
These peer generation effects can apply to family as well as friends — with numerous studies suggesting that spending time with friends and family who engage in criminal behavior is a strong risk factor for offending and reoffending (Murray and Farrington, 2010).
Another risk factor for recidivism is substance-abuse. Adolescents who use drugs are more likely than non-abusers to engage in violent acts (Dawkins, 1997), and drug use also correlates highly with family and marital problems.
In the absence of familial care, adolescents and young adults turn to drugs as a means of coping with discrimination and stigmatization.
However, this adds further difficulty to post-prison rehabilitation, integration, and adaption (Leschied, Chiodo, Nowicki, & Rodger, 2008).
Examples
Pew Surveys on Recidivism
A number of surveys have been conducted on recidivism over the past few years.
Rates of recidivism often vary based on the absence or presence of heavy penalties for re-offenders — such as California’s three-strikes sentencing law (Greenwood, Rydell, Abrahamse, Caulkins, Chiesa, Model, & Klein; 1994).
Nonetheless, the recidivism rate in large US states such as California has dropped significantly, leading to a downward trend in the country’s recidivism rate overall.
When California is excluded from these surveys, however, the general national recidivism rate appears to remain stable (Zgoba & Salerno, 2017).
Meta-analysisSmith et al. (2002) carried out a meta-analysis of over 100 research studies looking at the relationship between reoffending, length of sentence, and the use of prison vs. noncustodial sentences.They found that the recidivism rate following imprisonment was no lower than for non-custodial sentencing and that longer prison terms did not lower the risk of reoffending.The lowest rate of recidivism in Europe is in Norway. The prison system is very different, much more open, with a much greater emphasis on rehabilitation and skill acquisition than in the UK.
Meta-analysis
Smith et al. (2002) carried out a meta-analysis of over 100 research studies looking at the relationship between reoffending, length of sentence, and the use of prison vs. noncustodial sentences.They found that the recidivism rate following imprisonment was no lower than for non-custodial sentencing and that longer prison terms did not lower the risk of reoffending.The lowest rate of recidivism in Europe is in Norway. The prison system is very different, much more open, with a much greater emphasis on rehabilitation and skill acquisition than in the UK.
Smith et al. (2002) carried out a meta-analysis of over 100 research studies looking at the relationship between reoffending, length of sentence, and the use of prison vs. noncustodial sentences.
They found that the recidivism rate following imprisonment was no lower than for non-custodial sentencing and that longer prison terms did not lower the risk of reoffending.
The lowest rate of recidivism in Europe is in Norway. The prison system is very different, much more open, with a much greater emphasis on rehabilitation and skill acquisition than in the UK.
Recidivism in the Nigerian Prison System
Otu (2015) conducted an analysis of the factors leading to recidivism in the Nigerian Prison system, as well as possible ways to combat this recidivism in often low-resource settings.
The Nigerian prison system, Otu states, lacks resources for the procurement and establishment of state-of-the-art correctional programs such as vocational training and a formal education system.
Indeed, the facilities that do exist for doing so are often in poor condition or use technology that is obsolete for the modern workforce.
As a result, few inmates receive formal rehabilitation when released and often lack the vocational skills and acceptable academic qualifications necessary to become employed in the outside world.
Recidivism has had a large toll on Nigeria’s local, state, and federal governments. One immediate cost is to Nigerian taxpayers, particularly as policies increase prison populations, leading to higher budgetary demands (Chukwumerije, 2012).
Otu (2015), following McKean and Ransford (2004), suggests three major elements of programs that can successfully reduce recidivism: treatment for substance abuse or mental illness, education, and meaningful employment.
Prevention
To reduce recidivism (i.e., re-offending), punishment needs to fit the individual as well as the crime, and more research is needed into reducing the negative psychological effects of imprisonment.
The aim should be for offenders to leave prison fully reformed and ready to take on the role of productive and law-abiding citizens.
Alternatives to imprisonment – Given that we know prison doesn’t work, we need alternatives. Some alternatives include probation and restorative justice.
However, the government is reluctant to invest in prisoners due to economic restraints and public opinion. But, this is a short-sighted approach. In order to cut crime and recidivism rates, investment is needed (Economic implication).
From abehaviorist viewpoint, prison could work, but it does not because it does not follow the principles of operant conditioning.
For learning to take place, the punishment must be probable (i.e., it must always or nearly always follow the behavior), prompt (i.e., must follow the behavior very shortly), and very unpleasant.
However, many offenders are not caught (or not every time they commit a crime), and the punishment is not prompt because there is a long delay between committing the crime, being convicted, and being sent to prison.
Prison is unpleasant for most prisoners, but there are other consequences to the offense, e.g., financial gain or other forms of gratification.
Importance of Measuring Recidivism
Recidivism is an important feature in considering several core criminal justice topics, such as incapacitation, specific deterrence, and rehabilitation.
Specific deterrence is the term used to denote whether a sanction — such as an arrest — stops people from committing a further crime once the sanction has been imposed or completed.
Government agencies also use recidivism in evaluating the performance of prisons and studying the difference between the effectiveness of privately and publicly managed prisons.
In essence, if offenders stop committing crimes after their release, the prison is considered to be more successful. Ultimately, criminal desistance happens when an individual successfully maintains a permanent state of nonoffending.
Critique
Recidivism rates that measure treatment and program efficacy on subsequent criminal offending can vary widely.
These inconsistencies make it difficult to evaluate correctional techniques and treatment. There are several methodological reasons for this (Zgoba and Salerno, 2017).
The first cause of variation in recidivism rates concerns how researchers define the term recidivism. Recidivism can be defined both as any new offense or charge as well as any new specific offense.
Rice, Quinsey, and Harris (1991), for example, found that 58% of their sample was arrested for any new offense over a six-year follow-up period, compared with 31% for a new sexual offense.
Adding to this complexity in defining recidivism is whether or not surveyors consider a technical violation or an infraction within an institution or prison to be recidivism.
Defining, say, violations of parole as recidivism broadens its definition, producing potentially higher recidivism rates (Zgoba, Sager, & Witt, 2003).
Recidivism data can include measures of rearrest, reconviction, and re-incarceration, and each of these measures can have different levels of validity.
For example, calculating recidivism based on rearrest data could have a low level of accuracy, as many of these cases will not proceed to convictions.
Meanwhile, rates of recidivism based on reconviction or re-incarceration may reflect a higher level of accuracy. In general, studies that use rearrest data to measure recidivism will have higher rates of recidivism than those that use re-incarceration data.
In addition, specific legal processes, such as plea bargaining, can lead to inconsistencies that disproportionately lead to convictions (Zgoba and Salerno, 2017).
Another factor that impacts recidivism rates concerns the aggregation within a population of offenders. Many studies consider offenders to be a homogeneous group without accounting for the different recidivism statistics across a diverse population of offenders.
However, this only works if the group of offenders is actually homogeneous — and there is evidence to indicate that, on the contrary, offenders are extremely heterogeneous in their offending patterns.
A fourth factor that complicates the methodology of recidivism concerns how broad the follow-up time period for recidivism is. The longer the length of time to follow-up, the wider the window of opportunity for offenders to re-offend, and, as a result, the higher the rate of recidivism.
Recent recidivism studies have focused on longer time intervals to allow for a time passage long enough to validly represent re-offending patterns (Zgoba & Salerno, 2017).
A fifth challenge with many recidivism studies is their apparent lack of control groups. Offenders are infrequently separated into treatment and nontreatment groups for ethical reasons. This makes it difficult to measure the effect that a treatment has on rates of recidivism.
One final methodological difficulty in recidivism studies is the perception that those who commit crimes will inevitably commit them again. This belief often exists alongside high rates of recidivism.
Because many people believe offenders to be mentally disturbed and untreatable, offenders may be driven to the fringes of society, motivating further criminal behavior (Zgoba & Salerno, 2017)
References
Beck, A. J., & Shipley, B. E. (1989). Recidivism of prisoners released in 1983. US Department of Justice, Office of Justice Programs, Bureau of Justice Statistics.
Beesley, F., & McGuire, J. (2009). Gender-role identity and hypermasculinity in violent offending.Psychology, Crime & Law, 15(2-3), 251-268.
Chukwumerije, U. (2012). Explanatory memorandum on amendment of prison act. (On-line: http://www.Senatorchukwumerije/id63html
Dawkins, M. P. (1997). Drug use and violent crime among adolescents.Adolescence, 32(126), 395.
Deming, A. (2008). Sex offender civil commitment programs: Current practices, characteristics, and resident demographics.The Journal of Psychiatry & Law, 36(3), 439-461.
Gendreau, P. Little, T. & Goggin, C. (1996). A meta-analytic of the predictors of adult offender recidivism: what works? Criminology, Vol. 34: 575–608.
Giddens, A., & Sutton, P. W. (2006). Sociology (Vol. 19932). Polity Press.
Greenwood, P. W., Rydell, C. P., Abrahamse, A. F., Caulkins, J. P., Chiesa, J., Model, K. E., & Klein, S. P. (1994). Three strikes and you’re out: Estimated benefits and costs of California’s new mandatory-sentencing law. Santa Monica, CA: Rand.
Langan, P. A., & Levin, D. J. (2002). Recidivism of prisoners released in 1994. US Department of Justice, Office of Justice Programs, Bureau of Justice Statistics.
Leschied, A., Chiodo, D., Nowicki, E., & Rodger, S. (2008). Childhood predictors of adult criminality: A meta-analysis drawn from the prospective longitudinal literature. CanadianJournal of Criminology and Criminal Justice, 50(4), 435-467.
McKean, L. & Ransford, C. (2004). Current strategies for reducing recidivism. (On-line: http://www.targetarea.ord/research.doc/
Murray, J., & Farrington, D. P. (2010). Risk factors for conduct disorder and delinquency: key findings from longitudinal studies.The Canadian Journal of Psychiatry, 55(10), 633-642.
Obioha, E. E. (2011). Challenges and reforms in the Nigerian prisons system.Journal of Social Sciences, 27(2), 95-109.
Otu, M. S. (2015). Analysis of the causes and effects of recidivism in the Nigerian prison system. International Journal of Development and Management Review, 10(1), 136-145.
Peterson, J., Skeem, J. L., Hart, E., Vidal, S., & Keith, F. (2010). Analyzing offense patterns as a function of mental illness to test the criminalization hypothesis.Psychiatric services, 61(12), 1217-1222.
Rice, M. E., Quinsey, V. L., & Harris, G. T. (1991). Sexual recidivism among child molesters released from a maximum security psychiatric institution.Journal of Consulting and Clinical Psychology, 59(3), 381.
Tenibiaje, D. J. (2013). Educational attainment and peer group influence as predictors of recidivism.International Review of Social Sciences and Humanities, Vol. 5(1): 30– 37.
Zgoba, K. M., Sager, W. R., & Witt, P. H. (2003). Evaluation of New Jersey’s sex offender treatment program at the Adult Diagnostic and Treatment Center: preliminary results.The Journal of Psychiatry & Law, 31(2), 133-164.
Zgoba, K. M., & Salerno, L. M. (2017). A three-year recidivism analysis of state correctional releases.Criminal Justice Studies, 30(4), 331-345.
Further ReadingLatessa, E. J., & Lowenkamp, C. (2005). What works in reducing recidivism. U. St. Thomas LJ, 3, 521.The factors associated with proven re-offending following release from prisonTransforming Rehabilitation: a summary of evidence on reducing reoffending
Further Reading
Latessa, E. J., & Lowenkamp, C. (2005). What works in reducing recidivism. U. St. Thomas LJ, 3, 521.The factors associated with proven re-offending following release from prisonTransforming Rehabilitation: a summary of evidence on reducing reoffending
Latessa, E. J., & Lowenkamp, C. (2005). What works in reducing recidivism. U. St. Thomas LJ, 3, 521.
The factors associated with proven re-offending following release from prison
Transforming Rehabilitation: a summary of evidence on reducing reoffending
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Saul McLeod, PhD
BSc (Hons) Psychology, MRes, PhD, University of Manchester
Saul McLeod, PhD., is a qualified psychology teacher with over 18 years of experience in further and higher education. He has been published in peer-reviewed journals, including the Journal of Clinical Psychology.
Charlotte NickersonResearch Assistant at Harvard UniversityUndergraduate at Harvard UniversityCharlotte Nickerson is a student at Harvard University obsessed with the intersection of mental health, productivity, and design.
Charlotte NickersonResearch Assistant at Harvard UniversityUndergraduate at Harvard University
Charlotte Nickerson
Research Assistant at Harvard University
Undergraduate at Harvard University
Charlotte Nickerson is a student at Harvard University obsessed with the intersection of mental health, productivity, and design.